Baltimore Ravens games have gone over the total most often (13 over, 4 under; 76.5% over) and New York Giants games least (6 over, 11 under; 35.3% over). League-wide, 145 over, 124 under, 3 push (53.9% over).
Updated Oct 2, 2026
Each record reads over-under-push: games finishing over the posted total, then under, then exactly on it. Avg total points = average combined score in that team's games. Home and road records leave out neutral-site games (London, Germany and other international games).
| # | Team | Record (over-under-push) | Over % | Avg total points | Avg posted total | Home (O-U-P) | Away (O-U-P) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Baltimore Ravens | 13-4 | 76.5% | 51.7 | 47.2 | 6-2 | 7-2 |
| 2 | Carolina Panthers | 13-4 | 76.5% | 51.5 | 43.9 | 7-1 | 6-2 |
| 3 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 12-5 | 70.6% | 52.2 | 45.6 | 6-3 | 6-2 |
| 4 | Buffalo Bills | 11-5-1 | 68.8% | 52.5 | 46.2 | 6-1-1 | 5-4 |
| 5 | Cincinnati Bengals | 11-6 | 64.7% | 53.3 | 47.1 | 6-2 | 5-4 |
| 6 | Dallas Cowboys | 11-6 | 64.7% | 48.1 | 45.2 | 6-3 | 5-3 |
| 7 | Denver Broncos | 11-6 | 64.7% | 43.3 | 41.3 | 5-3 | 6-3 |
| 8 | New England Patriots | 11-6 | 64.7% | 41.5 | 41.0 | 7-1 | 3-5 |
| 9 | Washington Commanders | 11-6 | 64.7% | 51.5 | 46.1 | 6-3 | 5-3 |
| 10 | San Francisco 49ers | 10-6-1 | 62.5% | 48.5 | 46.3 | 5-4 | 5-2-1 |
| 11 | Indianapolis Colts | 10-7 | 58.8% | 47.3 | 44.1 | 5-3 | 5-4 |
| 12 | New York Jets | 10-7 | 58.8% | 43.6 | 42.3 | 4-4 | 6-2 |
| 13 | Tennessee Titans | 10-7 | 58.8% | 45.4 | 40.8 | 3-5 | 7-2 |
| 14 | Detroit Lions | 9-7-1 | 56.2% | 53.3 | 50.4 | 5-4 | 4-3-1 |
| 15 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 9-8 | 52.9% | 44.4 | 44.1 | 3-4 | 4-4 |
| 16 | Las Vegas Raiders | 9-8 | 52.9% | 43.7 | 41.2 | 5-3 | 4-5 |
| 17 | Seattle Seahawks | 9-8 | 52.9% | 43.7 | 44.8 | 4-5 | 5-3 |
| 18 | Arizona Cardinals | 8-8-1 | 50.0% | 45.8 | 46.6 | 5-4 | 3-4-1 |
| 19 | Green Bay Packers | 8-8-1 | 50.0% | 46.9 | 46.0 | 3-5-1 | 4-3 |
| 20 | Los Angeles Chargers | 8-9 | 47.1% | 41.4 | 42.6 | 5-3 | 3-6 |
| 21 | Los Angeles Rams | 8-9 | 47.1% | 44.3 | 46.8 | 5-4 | 3-5 |
| 22 | Miami Dolphins | 8-9 | 47.1% | 41.7 | 43.9 | 6-2 | 2-7 |
| 23 | New Orleans Saints | 8-9 | 47.1% | 43.3 | 43.4 | 4-5 | 4-4 |
| 24 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 8-9 | 47.1% | 42.8 | 41.8 | 2-6 | 6-3 |
| 25 | Atlanta Falcons | 7-10 | 41.2% | 47.8 | 46.1 | 3-6 | 4-4 |
| 26 | Chicago Bears | 7-10 | 41.2% | 40.0 | 43.1 | 4-4 | 2-6 |
| 27 | Cleveland Browns | 7-10 | 41.2% | 40.8 | 41.2 | 3-5 | 4-5 |
| 28 | Kansas City Chiefs | 7-10 | 41.2% | 41.8 | 43.8 | 4-4 | 3-6 |
| 29 | Minnesota Vikings | 7-10 | 41.2% | 44.9 | 45.4 | 3-5 | 4-4 |
| 30 | Philadelphia Eagles | 7-10 | 41.2% | 45.1 | 45.1 | 2-6 | 4-4 |
| 31 | Houston Texans | 6-10-1 | 37.5% | 43.8 | 44.4 | 1-6-1 | 5-4 |
| 32 | New York Giants | 6-11 | 35.3% | 40.5 | 41.4 | 3-6 | 3-4 |
The over/under (or total) is the combined score the market posts for a game. A game goes over if the two teams score more than the total, and under if they score less; landing exactly on it is a push.
The model's Thursday Night Football pick, free every week, plus first look at each week's deal.
Regular-season games only, using each game's point spread and final score. Cover % = covers / (covers + non-covers). Past performance doesn't guarantee future results. Trifecta is not affiliated with or endorsed by the NFL or any team. Data notes. Ad: SmackTok is a paid partner. Trifecta earns a commission on sign-ups with code TRIFECTA. 21+, select states.