Each week, the model ranks games by how sharply it disagrees with the closing line. The Top 5 by that measure — and separately, each week's single most confident call — are what you see here, nothing added or removed after the fact.
| Season | Most Confident/wk | Top 5/wk |
|---|
The model's Thursday Night Football pick, free every week, plus first look at each week's deal.
Edge is a number the model assigns to every game, measuring how far its own view diverges from the market's. The bigger the number, the bigger that disagreement, and the more confident the pick.
| Season | Wk | Matchup | Score | Spread | Pick | Edge | Result |
|---|