How we calculate NFL Stats

Use this data (free, with credit)

• The NFL Stats tables on this site and the files below are licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0). You may copy, share, chart and build on them, including commercially, as long as you give credit and link back.
• Suggested credit: Source: Trifecta (trifectapicks.com), NFL Stats, linked to the page you used.
• Download every game since 2021 (scores, spread, total, cover and over/under result, roof): nfl-ats-games.csv. Team and situation totals: ats_summary.json.
• In the CSV, home_spread is the home team's spread: -3.5 means the home team is favored by 3.5 and +3.5 means it is a 3.5-point underdog. ats_winner is the team that covered, or PUSH.
• This license covers Trifecta's NFL Stats compilations only. It does not cover Trifecta's picks, the Encyclopedia, the Track Record, or the Trifecta name and logo. NFL and team names belong to their owners.

What is counted

• Every regular-season NFL game since 2021 that has a final score and a point spread. Playoffs and preseason games are not included.
• Each game's point spread and final score, as recorded for that game.
• A team's record is counted from that team's own point of view: home and away, favorite and underdog.

How ATS is calculated

• Cover margin = the team's winning margin minus the spread it had to beat. A positive cover margin is a cover; negative is a non-cover.
• Example: a 3-point underdog (+3) that loses by 2 has a cover margin of +1, so it covers. A 3-point favorite (-3) that wins by 3 lands exactly on the spread, which is a push.
• Pushes are shown in records (for example 9-8-1) and left out of cover percentages. Cover % = covers divided by covers plus non-covers.
• A game with no spread (a pick'em) has no favorite or underdog and is left out of favorite and underdog splits.

How over/under is calculated

• A game goes over if the two teams' combined score is higher than the posted total, under if lower, and is a push if equal. Records read over-under-push.
• Over % excludes pushes. Weather splits use the game-time temperature and wind recorded for outdoor games only.

Definitions used on the stats pages

• Thursday, Monday and Sunday night games: Thursday games starting at 7:00 PM ET or later, all Monday games, and Sunday games starting at 7:00 PM ET or later.
• Teams off a bye: 13 or more days of rest before the game (Week 1 excluded). Short rest: 5 days or fewer.
• Division games: both teams in the same division. Big spreads: 7 or more points, or 10 or more where labeled.

Spreads and corrections

• Spreads come from a single recorded line for each game. If we find a recorded line that differs from the market at the time, we correct it and use the corrected number everywhere on the site, including the Track Record.
• The date under each page's headline is when its numbers were last refreshed. Numbers refresh with the site's daily update during the season.
• Found something wrong? Email help@trifectapicks.com with the page and the game and we will look at it.

Independence

NFL Stats is league-wide history and contains no picks. Trifecta is an informational and educational sports-analytics service. It is not affiliated with or endorsed by the NFL or any team.