Favorites went 8-7 against the spread (53.3%) and home teams 6-9 (40.0%). 5 underdogs won outright. The biggest cover: New Orleans Saints beat the number by 25 points in LV @ NO. Games finished 7 over and 7 under the total (1 push).
Updated Oct 2, 2026
Spread shown as the favorite and points; total = combined points vs the posted line.
| Matchup | Day | Final | Spread | Covered | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Ravens@Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Thu | BAL 27, TB 22 | TB -2 | Baltimore Ravens by 7 | 49 vs 46 Over |
| Denver Broncos@Jacksonville Jaguars | Sun | DEN 21, JAX 17 | JAX -1 | Denver Broncos by 5 | 38 vs 41 Under |
| Carolina Panthers@Atlanta Falcons | Sun | CAR 34, ATL 37 | ATL -4.5 | Carolina Panthers by 1.5 | 71 vs 41 Over |
| Chicago Bears@Dallas Cowboys | Sun | CHI 29, DAL 49 | DAL -10.5 | Dallas Cowboys by 9.5 | 78 vs 43 Over |
| Miami Dolphins@Detroit Lions | Sun | MIA 31, DET 27 | MIA -3.5 | Miami Dolphins by 0.5 | 58 vs 52 Over |
| Arizona Cardinals@Minnesota Vikings | Sun | ARI 26, MIN 34 | MIN -4 | Minnesota Vikings by 4 | 60 vs 48.5 Over |
| Las Vegas Raiders@New Orleans Saints | Sun | LV 0, NO 24 | LV -1 | New Orleans Saints by 25 | 24 vs 48.5 Under |
| New England Patriots@New York Jets | Sun | NE 22, NYJ 17 | NE -3 | New England Patriots by 2 | 39 vs 40 Under |
| Pittsburgh Steelers@Philadelphia Eagles | Sun | PIT 13, PHI 35 | PHI -11 | Philadelphia Eagles by 11 | 48 vs 43 Over |
| Tennessee Titans@Houston Texans | Sun | TEN 17, HOU 10 | TEN -1 | Tennessee Titans by 6 | 27 vs 39 Under |
| Washington Commanders@Indianapolis Colts | Sun | WAS 17, IND 16 | IND -3 | Washington Commanders by 4 | 33 vs 40.5 Under |
| San Francisco 49ers@Los Angeles Rams | Sun | SF 31, LA 14 | SF -1 | San Francisco 49ers by 16 | 45 vs 42 Over |
| New York Giants@Seattle Seahawks | Sun | NYG 13, SEA 27 | SEA -3 | Seattle Seahawks by 11 | 40 vs 44.5 Under |
| Green Bay Packers@Buffalo Bills | Sun | GB 17, BUF 27 | BUF -10.5 | Green Bay Packers by 0.5 | 44 vs 47 Under |
| Cincinnati Bengals@Cleveland Browns | Mon | CIN 13, CLE 32 | CIN -3 | Cleveland Browns by 22 | 45 vs 45 Push |
Trifecta's five most confident picks that week, graded: Week 8, 2022 recap.
ATS means against the spread. A team covers when it wins by more than the point spread, or loses by fewer points than the spread. A game that lands exactly on the spread is a push and is left out of cover percentages.
The model's Thursday Night Football pick, free every week, plus first look at each week's deal.
Regular-season games only, using each game's point spread and final score. Cover % = covers / (covers + non-covers). Past performance doesn't guarantee future results. Trifecta is not affiliated with or endorsed by the NFL or any team. Data notes. Ad: SmackTok is a paid partner. Trifecta earns a commission on sign-ups with code TRIFECTA. 21+, select states.