Since 2021, home teams are 666-680-34 against the spread (49.5%) and road teams 680-666-34 (50.5%). Favorites cover 49.3% of the time (677-696-35), underdogs 50.7%. Home underdogs are 269-266-13 (50.3%); road favorites 266-269-13 (49.7%).
Updated Oct 2, 2026
Records by season and combined. Cover % excludes pushes. Home and road records leave out neutral-site games (London, Germany and other international games).
| Split | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Since 2021 | Cover % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favorites | 125-143-4 | 118-143-10 | 137-121-14 | 143-125-4 | 131-140-1 | 23-24-2 | 677-696-35 | 49.3% |
| Underdogs | 143-125-4 | 143-118-10 | 121-137-14 | 125-143-4 | 140-131-1 | 24-23-2 | 696-677-35 | 50.7% |
| Home teams | 126-139-4 | 126-129-10 | 126-127-14 | 132-131-4 | 131-133-1 | 25-21-1 | 666-680-34 | 49.5% |
| Road teams | 139-126-4 | 129-126-10 | 127-126-14 | 131-132-4 | 133-131-1 | 21-25-1 | 680-666-34 | 50.5% |
| Home favorites | 71-86-3 | 72-86-6 | 81-75-7 | 82-73-3 | 75-80-1 | 16-14-1 | 397-414-21 | 49.0% |
| Home underdogs | 55-53-1 | 54-43-4 | 45-52-7 | 50-58-1 | 56-53 | 9-7 | 269-266-13 | 50.3% |
| Road favorites | 53-55-1 | 43-54-4 | 52-45-7 | 58-50-1 | 53-56 | 7-9 | 266-269-13 | 49.7% |
| Road underdogs | 86-71-3 | 86-72-6 | 75-81-7 | 73-82-3 | 80-75-1 | 14-16-1 | 414-397-21 | 51.0% |
| Split | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Since 2021 | Cover % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favorites of 7+ points | 55-45-3 | 24-40-3 | 30-32-3 | 29-32 | 40-43 | 4-7-1 | 182-199-10 | 47.8% |
| Underdogs of 7+ points | 45-55-3 | 40-24-3 | 32-30-3 | 32-29 | 43-40 | 7-4-1 | 199-182-10 | 52.2% |
| Favorites of 10+ points | 29-21-3 | 11-22-3 | 13-13-1 | 11-7 | 21-13 | 2-0 | 87-76-7 | 53.4% |
| Split | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Since 2021 | Cover % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Division favorites | 44-49-3 | 41-54-1 | 50-43-3 | 41-53-2 | 45-51 | 5-9 | 226-259-9 | 46.6% |
| Division underdogs | 49-44-3 | 54-41-1 | 43-50-3 | 53-41-2 | 51-45 | 9-5 | 259-226-9 | 53.4% |
A bye means 13 or more days of rest (Week 1 excluded).
| Split | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Since 2021 | Cover % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teams coming off a bye | 14-16-2 | 16-16 | 15-14-3 | 12-20 | 17-15 | - | 74-81-5 | 47.7% |
| Teams on short rest (5 days or fewer) | 15-15-2 | 16-16-2 | 16-16-4 | 20-20 | 20-20 | 3-3 | 90-90-8 | 50.0% |
Since 2021. Each slot has its own page with team-by-team records.
| Slot | Home teams | Road teams | Favorites | Underdogs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thursday Night Football | 41-42-4 (49.4%) | 42-41-4 (50.6%) | 42-42-4 (50.0%) | 42-42-4 (50.0%) |
| Monday Night Football | 49-49-2 (50.0%) | 49-49-2 (50.0%) | 48-51-2 (48.5%) | 51-48-2 (51.5%) |
| Sunday Night Football | 48-44-1 (52.2%) | 44-48-1 (47.8%) | 44-48-1 (47.8%) | 48-44-1 (52.2%) |
ATS means against the spread. A team covers when it wins by more than the point spread, or loses by fewer points than the spread. A game that lands exactly on the spread is a push and is left out of cover percentages.
Current NFL ATS standings · ATS results by week · Over/under trends · Trifecta's picks by team · Trifecta track record
The model's Thursday Night Football pick, free every week, plus first look at each week's deal.
Regular-season games only, using each game's point spread and final score. Cover % = covers / (covers + non-covers). Past performance doesn't guarantee future results. Trifecta is not affiliated with or endorsed by the NFL or any team. Data notes. Ad: SmackTok is a paid partner. Trifecta earns a commission on sign-ups with code TRIFECTA. 21+, select states.