Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers, Acrisure Stadium. Sun Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET. The line: PIT -1.5; total 44.5. Line as of Oct 2. This season the Colts are 2-1 against the spread and the Steelers 2-2.
Updated Oct 2, 2026
The last column is the Colts on the road and the Steelers at home.
| Team | 2026 | 2025 | Since 2021 | Away / home since 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indianapolis Colts | 2-1 (66.7%) | 9-8 (52.9%) | 45-43 (51.1%) | 23-19 (54.8%) |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 2-2 (50.0%) | 9-7-1 (56.2%) | 50-37-2 (57.5%) | 26-17-1 (60.5%) |
| Date | Matchup | Final | Spread | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-02 | IND @ PIT | IND 20, PIT 27 | IND -3.5 | Pittsburgh Steelers by 10.5 |
| 2024-09-29 | PIT @ IND | PIT 24, IND 27 | PIT -2.5 | Indianapolis Colts by 5.5 |
| 2023-12-16 | PIT @ IND | PIT 13, IND 30 | IND -1.5 | Indianapolis Colts by 15.5 |
| 2022-11-28 | PIT @ IND | PIT 24, IND 17 | IND -2.5 | Pittsburgh Steelers by 9.5 |
Implied points come from the game's total and spread: the favorite gets (total + spread) / 2 and the underdog (total - spread) / 2. This is context, not a prediction.
| Team | Implied points | Points per game this season | Points allowed per game |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indianapolis Colts | 21.5 | 24.0 (3 games) | 30.3 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 23.0 | 19.2 (4 games) | 21.8 |
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ATS means against the spread. A team covers when it wins by more than the point spread, or loses by fewer points than the spread. A game that lands exactly on the spread is a push and is left out of cover percentages.
All Week 5 games · ATS standings · Indianapolis Colts ATS record · Pittsburgh Steelers ATS record
This page shows history and the posted line only. It is not a prediction.
The model's Thursday Night Football pick, free every week, plus first look at each week's deal.
Regular-season games only, using each game's point spread and final score. Cover % = covers / (covers + non-covers). Past performance doesn't guarantee future results. Trifecta is not affiliated with or endorsed by the NFL or any team. Data notes. Ad: SmackTok is a paid partner. Trifecta earns a commission on sign-ups with code TRIFECTA. 21+, select states.